Simulation modeling is an approach that uses computer models of some scenario (e.g. the spread of an infectious disease) to understand what is going on, to make forecasts and to evaluate the impact of different interventions.
2020-11-18 18:38:25
Simulation modeling is an approach that uses computer models of some scenario (e.g. the spread of an infectious disease) to understand what is going on, to make forecasts and to evaluate the impact of different interventions.
Source: NOAA
See later example
Kissler et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb5793
Markus Spiske on Unsplash
DSAIDE - Dynamical Systems Approach to Infectious Disease Epidemiology
\[ \begin{aligned} \dot S & = -bSI \\ \dot I & = bSI - gI \\ \dot R & = gI \\ \end{aligned} \]
The overshoot concept.
\[ \begin{aligned} \dot S & = -(1-f)bSI \\ \dot I & = (1-f)bSI - gI \\ \dot R & = gI \\ \end{aligned} \]
Control during multiple outbreaks